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Three scenarios for Sudan : From non-violent revolution to democratic reform?

Mustasilta, Katariina, 2019
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Verfasser Mustasilta, Katariina Wikipedia
Systematik Internet - Internet
Verlag EUISS
Ort Paris
Jahr 2019
Umfang 8 p.
Altersbeschränkung keine
Reihe Brief issue / ISS
Reihenvermerk 10
Sprache englisch
Verfasserangabe Katariina Mustasilta
Annotation On 11 April, Sudan’s long-standing head of state, President al-Bashir, was removed from office by his military generals following a large-scale non-violent uprising against the regime. Four months later, on 17 August, the Transitional Military Council (TMC) and the opposition coalition Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC) signed a power-sharing agreement establishing a three-year transitional regime set up to steer the country towards democratic elections. The agreement forged in August was underpinned by the same dynamics that led to the overthrow of the regime in April: determined non-violent resistance demanding a transition to civilian-led rule.

These events in Sudan demonstrate the potential of strategic non-violence in bringing about societal change, even in the face of violent repression. Indeed, research has found that non-violent resistance, defined as ‘the application of unarmed civilian power using non-violent methods such as protests, strikes, boycotts, and demonstrations, without using or threatening physical harm against the opponent’, is not only increasingly frequent but also more effective in achieving its goals than violent rebellion.1 Moreover, recent studies show that non-violent resistance creates better foundations for building democratic institutions than armed or elite-led transitions.2 In the light of these research findings, there is genuine potential for democratic transition in Sudan

Table of contents

1
Introduction
2
Why non-violent resistance works
3
Strengths of the civil resistance movement
4
Main challenges facing the civil resistance
5
Three scenarios: military backlash, escalating violence or democratisation
6
References
Exemplare
Ex.nr. Standort
258 Internet
Anhang URL: https://www.iss.europa.eu/sites/default/files/EUISSFiles/Brief%2010%20Sudan.pdf

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